Statball

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Miami Marlins
10
100% — our call
Final
Atlanta Braves
4
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityAtlanta Braves
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Braves in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 16 H, 0 EBraves · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Braves win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Braves win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Austin Riley grounds into a double play, shortstop Otto Lopez to second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Connor Norby. Matt Olson out at 2nd. Austin Riley out at 1st.
bot 9Matt Olson singles on a sharp ground ball to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Drake Baldwin called out on strikes.
top 9Graham Pauley grounds into a double play, second baseman Ozzie Albies to shortstop Jorge Mateo to first baseman Matt Olson. Heriberto Hernández out at 2nd. Graham Pauley out at 1st.
top 9Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to right fielder Ronald Acuña Jr.
top 9Connor Norby flies out to left fielder Mauricio Dubón.
bot 8Ronald Acuña Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Mauricio Dubón walks. Michael Harris II to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Agustín Ramírez 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Connor Norby 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Liam Hicks 3-4, 3 RBI
Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Michael Harris II 2-3 · Matt Olson 2-5 · Drake Baldwin 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.