Statball

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Houston Astros
5
0% — our call
Final
Athletics
6
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 5 H, 2 EAthletics · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jeremy Peña grounds into a double play, shortstop Donovan Walton to second baseman Jeff McNeil to first baseman Tommy White. Taylor Trammell out at 2nd. Jeremy Peña out at 1st.
top 9Nelson Velázquez walks.
top 9Lucas Spence strikes out swinging.
bot 8Lawrence Butler grounds into a double play, shortstop Jeremy Peña to second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Christian Walker. Henry Bolte out at 2nd. Lawrence Butler out at 1st.
bot 8Henry Bolte singles on a ground ball to left fielder LaMonte Wade Jr. Jonah Heim to 2nd.
bot 8Jonah Heim singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lucas Spence.
bot 8Tommy White strikes out swinging.
top 8Cam Smith strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cam Smith 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Walker 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Yainer Diaz 2-4, 1 RBI
Athletics
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonah Heim 2-4, 1 RBI · Henry Bolte 2-5, 2 RBI · Tommy White 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.