Statball

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Seattle Mariners
7
0% — our call
Final
Athletics
8
100% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mariners · 12 H, 1 EAthletics · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Lawrence Butler homers (16) on a fly ball to right center field. Zack Gelof scores.7–8
bot 9Zack Gelof singles on a ground ball to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
top 9Cole Young grounds into a force out, second baseman Michael Stefanic to shortstop Donovan Walton. Josh Naylor out at 2nd.
top 9Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler.
top 9Julio Rodríguez lines out to third baseman Zack Gelof.
top 9Cal Raleigh flies out sharply to left fielder Carlos Cortes.
bot 8Jeff McNeil flies out to left fielder Randy Arozarena.
bot 8Henry Bolte strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Randy Arozarena 3-5, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Josh Naylor 2-4 · Jhonny Pereda 2-2, 2 RBI
Athletics
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Lawrence Butler 2-4, 2 HR, 4 RBI · Zack Gelof 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Alika Williams 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.