Statball

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Seattle Mariners
19
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
1
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678923223431
Mariners · 23 H, 1 EAthletics · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alika Williams strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jonah Heim flies out to center fielder Julio Rodríguez.
bot 9Carlos Cortes singles on a fly ball to left fielder Victor Robles.
bot 9Michael Stefanic grounds out, shortstop J.P. Crawford to first baseman Weston Wilson.
top 9J.P. Crawford grounds into a double play, shortstop Alika Williams to first baseman Tommy White. Weston Wilson out at 2nd. J.P. Crawford out at 1st.
top 9Weston Wilson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Denzel Clarke. Cole Young to 2nd.
top 9Michael Arroyo out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Brock Rodden scores.19–1
top 9Cole Young singles on a line drive to left fielder Max Muncy. Cal Raleigh scores. Julio Rodríguez scores. Brock Rodden to 3rd.18–1

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Cole Young 3-6, 1 HR, 5 RBI · Michael Arroyo 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Weston Wilson 5-6, 1 RBI
Athletics
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonah Heim 1-4 · Carlos Cortes 1-4 · Max Muncy 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.