Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
4
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
3
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 6 H, 0 EAthletics · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Lawrence Butler grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Coby Mayo.
bot 10Zack Gelof singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser. Alika Williams scores.4–3
bot 10Jeff McNeil flies out to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
bot 10Henry Bolte strikes out swinging.
top 10Leody Taveras strikes out on a foul tip.
top 10Christian Encarnacion-Strand singles on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Gunnar Henderson scores. Coby Mayo to 2nd.4–2
top 10Coby Mayo singles on a line drive to right fielder Lawrence Butler. Carlos Narváez scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd.3–2
top 10Jackson Holliday called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Coby Mayo 2-4, 1 RBI · Dylan Beavers 1-3, 1 RBI · Blaze Alexander 1-5
Athletics
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jonah Heim 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Zack Gelof 2-4, 1 RBI · Max Muncy 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.