Statball

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Boston Red Sox
5
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
4
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 8 H, 2 EAthletics · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nick Kurtz strikes out swinging.
bot 9Alika Williams doubles (10) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Jarren Duran.
bot 9Jeff McNeil grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Anthony Seigler grounds into a double play, pitcher Elvis Alvarado to shortstop Donovan Walton to first baseman Nick Kurtz. Connor Wong out at 2nd. Anthony Seigler out at 1st.
top 9Connor Wong walks.
top 9Andruw Monasterio strikes out swinging.
bot 8Lawrence Butler strikes out swinging.
bot 8Tommy White grounds into a double play, shortstop Andruw Monasterio to first baseman Willson Contreras. Henry Bolte out at 2nd. Tommy White out at 1st.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 2-4, 2 RBI
Athletics
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Lawrence Butler 2-4, 1 RBI · Jonah Heim 2-4 · Jacob Wilson 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.