Statball

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Miami Marlins
9
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
8
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 16 H, 0 EAthletics · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Brian Serven grounds out, second baseman Xavier Edwards to first baseman Liam Hicks.
bot 9Jonah Heim singles on a ground ball to center fielder Esteury Ruiz. Lawrence Butler scores. Max Muncy scores.98
bot 9Carlos Cortes pops out to second baseman Xavier Edwards.
bot 9Joshua Kuroda-Grauer strikes out swinging.
bot 9Lawrence Butler doubles (8) on a ground ball to right fielder Griffin Conine. Zack Gelof to 3rd.
bot 9Zack Gelof singles on a line drive to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Javier Sanoja grounds out, third baseman Max Muncy to first baseman Nick Kurtz.
top 9Xavier Edwards walks.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 3-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Otto Lopez 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Leo Jiménez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Athletics
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Jonah Heim 2-4, 1 HR, 6 RBI · Lawrence Butler 1-3 · Zack Gelof 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.