Statball

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Miami Marlins
12
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
5
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 11 H, 0 EAthletics · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Lawrence Butler flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Jonah Heim grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Liam Hicks.
top 9Liam Hicks flies out to center fielder Henry Bolte.
top 9Javier Sanoja walks.
top 9Jakob Marsee lines out to shortstop Alika Williams.
top 9Owen Caissie homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. Esteury Ruiz scores.125
top 9Griffin Conine strikes out swinging.
top 9Heriberto Hernández singles on a ground ball to center fielder Henry Bolte.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
6 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Stowers 4-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Jakob Marsee 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Athletics
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Kurtz 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Carlos Cortes 2-4 · Lawrence Butler 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.