Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
6
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
5
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789122141
Pirates · 12 H, 1 EAthletics · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jacob Wilson lines out to right fielder Jake Mangum.
bot 9Tyler Soderstrom called out on strikes.
bot 9Shea Langeliers singles on a line drive to center fielder Billy Cook. Nick Kurtz to 2nd.
bot 9Nick Kurtz singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 9Alika Williams strikes out swinging.
top 9Ryan O'Hearn grounds out, second baseman Alika Williams to first baseman Nick Kurtz.
top 9Bryan Reynolds grounds out, third baseman Zack Gelof to first baseman Nick Kurtz.
top 9Brandon Lowe homers (18) on a line drive to right field.65

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan Reynolds 4-5, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Brandon Lowe 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan O'Hearn 3-5
Athletics
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Zack Gelof 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Lawrence Butler 1-3, 1 RBI · Alika Williams 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.