Statball

← All live games · Sutter Health Park

Pittsburgh Pirates
12
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
4
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893225211
Pirates · 16 H, 1 EAthletics · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alika Williams strikes out swinging.
bot 9Henry Bolte flies out sharply to center fielder Billy Cook.
bot 9Lawrence Butler strikes out swinging.
bot 9Zack Gelof homers (11) on a fly ball to left field.124
top 9Esmerlyn Valdez strikes out swinging.
top 9Billy Cook flies out to center fielder Henry Bolte.
top 9Tyler Callihan strikes out swinging.
top 9Spencer Horwitz walks.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan O'Hearn 3-5, 1 HR, 6 RBI · Marcell Ozuna 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 2-4, 1 RBI
Athletics
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 47 batters faced over the last two days
Zack Gelof 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Henry Bolte 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jonah Heim 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.