Statball

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Pittsburgh Pirates
2
0% — our call
Final
Athletics
11
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 8 H, 2 EAthletics · 14 H, 1 E
100%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Brandon Lowe flies out to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom.
top 9Spencer Horwitz doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom.
top 9Esmerlyn Valdez flies out to right fielder Lawrence Butler.
top 9Jake Mangum pops out to shortstop Jacob Wilson.
bot 8Carlos Cortes strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jacob Wilson flies out to right fielder Jake Mangum.
bot 8Tyler Soderstrom strikes out swinging.
top 8Tyler Callihan flies out to right fielder Lawrence Butler.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Endy Rodríguez 3-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 1-4 · Brandon Lowe 1-5
Athletics
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 39 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Kurtz 3-4, 2 HR, 5 RBI · Jeff McNeil 3-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Lawrence Butler 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.