Statball

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New York Yankees
13
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
8
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913341
Yankees · 11 H, 1 EAthletics · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Darell Hernaiz grounds out, pitcher David Bednar to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Jeff McNeil strikes out swinging.
bot 9Zack Gelof singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Lawrence Butler to 2nd.
bot 9Lawrence Butler walks.
bot 9Jonah Heim grounds out, second baseman José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Trent Grisham flies out to center fielder Henry Bolte.
top 9José Caballero strikes out swinging.
top 9Cody Bellinger pops out to third baseman Zack Gelof in foul territory.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-5, 4 RBI · Anthony Volpe 2-4, 1 RBI · Cody Bellinger 2-4, 1 RBI
Athletics
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 52 batters faced over the last two days
Brent Rooker 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jonah Heim 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Zack Gelof 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.