Statball

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New York Yankees
8
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
2
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567894111111
Yankees · 12 H, 0 EAthletics · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Alika Williams strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jeff McNeil pops out to third baseman Ryan McMahon in foul territory.
bot 9Zack Gelof singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Brent Rooker scores. Henry Bolte to 2nd.82
bot 9Henry Bolte grounds into a force out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to shortstop José Caballero. Brent Rooker to 3rd. Tyler Soderstrom out at 2nd. Henry Bolte to 1st.
bot 9Tyler Soderstrom walks. Brent Rooker to 2nd.
bot 9Brent Rooker singles on a soft ground ball to shortstop José Caballero.
top 9Paul Goldschmidt flies out to right fielder Lawrence Butler.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan McMahon 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Paul Goldschmidt 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Athletics
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Kurtz 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Henry Bolte 3-4 · Zack Gelof 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.