Statball

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Seattle Mariners
4
100% — our call
Final
Athletics
1
0% — our call
Seattle Marinersgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Mariners. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789311
Mariners · 11 H, 0 EAthletics · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Lawrence Butler grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor.
bot 9Zack Gelof singles on a ground ball to third baseman Colt Emerson.
bot 9Alika Williams strikes out swinging.
bot 9Tyler Soderstrom homers (6) on a line drive to center field.41
bot 9Brent Rooker flies out to second baseman Cole Young.
top 9Randy Arozarena flies out to second baseman Darell Hernaiz.
top 9Julio Rodríguez flies out to center fielder Henry Bolte.
top 9J.P. Crawford called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Seattle Mariners
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Robles 3-3 · Josh Naylor 2-4 · Mitch Garver 2-4, 1 RBI
Athletics
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Tyler Soderstrom 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Zack Gelof 2-4 · Lawrence Butler 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.