Statball

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Houston Astros
10
0% — our call
Final
Athletics
12
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityAthletics
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Athletics in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Astros · 11 H, 2 EAthletics · 16 H, 0 E
100%
Athletics win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Athletics win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Brent Rooker homers (2) on a fly ball to left field. Shea Langeliers scores. Tyler Soderstrom scores.1012
bot 10Tyler Soderstrom walks.
top 10Yainer Diaz flies out to right fielder Lawrence Butler.
top 10Cam Smith strikes out swinging.
top 10Hogan Harris intentionally walks Christian Walker.
top 10Carlos Correa singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Soderstrom. Nick Allen scores. Jose Altuve to 3rd. Carlos Correa to 2nd.109
top 10Yordan Alvarez strikes out swinging.
top 10Jose Altuve walks.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
9 on the injured list (3 stars) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Jake Meyers 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Walker 1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Yordan Alvarez 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Athletics
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 50 batters faced over the last two days
Brent Rooker 2-4, 2 HR, 6 RBI · Carlos Cortes 2-3, 2 RBI · Max Muncy 2-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.