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Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
2
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 5 H, 1 EDiamondbacks · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 11Gabriel Moreno grounds out, shortstop Otto Lopez to first baseman Deyvison De Los Santos.
bot 11Ketel Marte doubles (29) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jakob Marsee. Ildemaro Vargas scores.4–2
bot 11Lars Nootbaar strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 11Jordan Lawlar called out on strikes.
top 11Javier Sanoja flies out to left fielder Lars Nootbaar.
top 11Esteury Ruiz doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jordan Lawlar. Jared Serna scores. Kyle Stowers scores. Otto Lopez scores.4–1
top 11Otto Lopez walks. Jared Serna to 3rd. Kyle Stowers to 2nd.
top 11Heriberto Hernández strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Griffin Conine 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heriberto Hernández 1-5 · Esteury Ruiz 1-3, 3 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Moreno 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 2-6, 1 RBI · Jordan Lawlar 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.