Statball

← All live games · Chase Field

Miami Marlins
4
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
3
0% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678922111
Marlins · 10 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 10 H, 1 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
—
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
—
our live number minus theirs
—
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Lars Nootbaar walks.
bot 9Tim Tawa flies out to center fielder Jakob Marsee.
bot 9Pavin Smith flies out to left fielder Heriberto Hernández.
top 9Griffin Conine grounds into a double play, pitcher Jonathan Loáisiga to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Pavin Smith. Otto Lopez out at 2nd. Griffin Conine out at 1st.
top 9Otto Lopez singles on a line drive to center fielder Tim Tawa. Heriberto Hernández to 2nd.
top 9Heriberto Hernández singles on a line drive to center fielder Tim Tawa.
top 9Kyle Stowers strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jose Fernandez strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Heriberto Hernández 4-5, 1 RBI · Jakob Marsee 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Otto Lopez 2-5
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Moreno 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nolan Arenado 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pavin Smith 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.