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Miami Marlins
7
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
8
100% — our call
Miami Marlinsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Marlins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Marlins · 12 H, 2 EDiamondbacks · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Corbin Carroll homers (21) on a fly ball to right field. Tommy Troy scores.7–8
bot 9Geraldo Perdomo out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Javier Sanoja to first baseman Graham Pauley. Tommy Troy to 2nd.
bot 9Gabriel Moreno walks.
top 9Otto Lopez strikes out swinging.
top 9Esteury Ruiz called out on strikes.
top 9Xavier Edwards strikes out swinging.
top 9Heriberto Hernández walks.
bot 8Ketel Marte pops out to shortstop Otto Lopez.

Context the model prices

Miami Marlins
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jakob Marsee 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Javier Sanoja 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Xavier Edwards 2-5, 1 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Lars Nootbaar 3-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jordan Lawlar 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Corbin Carroll 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.