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Philadelphia Phillies
0
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
1
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Phillies · 3 H, 1 EDiamondbacks · 3 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Luis Arraez grounds out, second baseman Ildemaro Vargas to first baseman Tim Tawa.
top 9Bryce Harper walks.
top 9Trea Turner strikes out swinging.
top 9Kyle Schwarber strikes out swinging.
bot 8Lars Nootbaar strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jordan Lawlar called out on strikes.
bot 8Ildemaro Vargas flies out to center fielder Justin Crawford.
bot 8James McCann homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.0–1

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan De La Cruz 2-3 · Bryce Harper 1-2 · Brandon Marsh 0-3
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
James McCann 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Lars Nootbaar 1-4 · Geraldo Perdomo 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.