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Philadelphia Phillies
7
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 13 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Tim Tawa lines out to right fielder Bryce Harper.
bot 9Ildemaro Vargas flies out to right fielder Bryce Harper.
bot 9Nolan Arenado flies out to right fielder Bryce Harper.
top 9J.T. Realmuto flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
top 9Bryson Stott out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ryan Waldschmidt. Alec Bohm scores.7–1
top 9Brandon Marsh grounds out, second baseman Ildemaro Vargas to first baseman Tim Tawa. Alec Bohm to 3rd.
top 9Alec Bohm doubles (23) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jordan Lawlar.
bot 8Ketel Marte grounds out, first baseman Alec Bohm to pitcher Jonathan Bowlan.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryce Harper 4-4, 1 RBI · Alec Bohm 2-4, 1 RBI · Luis Arraez 2-4
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Lawlar 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tim Tawa 1-4 · Ryan Waldschmidt 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.