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Chicago Cubs
0
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
2
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911
Cubs · 2 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ian Happ grounds out, first baseman Tim Tawa to pitcher Juan Morillo.
top 9Nico Hoerner grounds out, first baseman Tim Tawa to pitcher Juan Morillo.
top 9Michael Busch pops out to third baseman Jose Fernandez.
bot 8Ildemaro Vargas grounds out, first baseman Michael Busch to pitcher Ryan Zeferjahn.
bot 8Ryan Waldschmidt flies into a sacrifice double play, right fielder Seiya Suzuki to first baseman Michael Busch. James McCann scores. Jordan Lawlar out at 1st.02
bot 8Jordan Lawlar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. James McCann to 3rd.
bot 8James McCann singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong.
top 8Alex Bregman flies out to left fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tyrone Taylor 1-3 · Pete Crow-Armstrong 1-4 · Ian Happ 0-1
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Lawlar 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Geraldo Perdomo 2-3 · Nolan Arenado 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.