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Philadelphia Phillies
2
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 6 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 9 H, 1 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Gabriel Moreno grounds out, shortstop Trea Turner to first baseman Alec Bohm.
bot 9Corbin Carroll singles on a ground ball to shortstop Trea Turner. Ryan Waldschmidt to 2nd.
bot 9Geraldo Perdomo strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ryan Waldschmidt singles on a ground ball to shortstop Trea Turner.
bot 9Ildemaro Vargas strikes out swinging.
top 9Garrett Stubbs flies out to center fielder Jordan Lawlar.
top 9Justin Crawford strikes out swinging.
top 9Brandon Marsh lines out to left fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryson Stott 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryce Harper 2-4, 1 RBI · Justin Crawford 1-4
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Waldschmidt 2-4 · Gabriel Moreno 2-5, 1 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.