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Chicago Cubs
4
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
5
100% — our call
Chicago Cubsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Cubs. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893132
Cubs · 7 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ryan Waldschmidt homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Jose Fernandez scores.45
bot 9Ildemaro Vargas lines out to right fielder Seiya Suzuki.
bot 9Tim Tawa walks.
bot 9Nolan Arenado lines out to shortstop Nico Hoerner.
top 9Michael Conforto called out on strikes.
top 9Pedro Ramírez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ildemaro Vargas, deflected by first baseman Tim Tawa.
top 9Nico Hoerner flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll in foul territory.
bot 8Max Kepler grounds out, pitcher Jacob Webb to first baseman Michael Busch.

Context the model prices

Chicago Cubs
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ian Happ 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Michael Busch 2-3, 1 RBI · Seiya Suzuki 2-4
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Waldschmidt 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Geraldo Perdomo 2-3, 2 RBI · Gabriel Moreno 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.