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Cincinnati Reds
11
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
5
0% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Reds · 16 H, 1 EDiamondbacks · 10 H, 0 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
bot 9Geraldo Perdomo grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Sal Stewart.
bot 9Gabriel Moreno doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to left fielder JJ Bleday.
bot 9Corbin Carroll grounds out sharply, second baseman Matt McLain to first baseman Sal Stewart.
top 9Tyler Stephenson strikes out swinging.
top 9JJ Bleday strikes out swinging.
top 9Sal Stewart strikes out swinging.
bot 8Lars Nootbaar flies out sharply to center fielder Dane Myers.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Elly De La Cruz 4-6, 1 HR, 1 RBI · JJ Bleday 4-6, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Héctor Rodríguez 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Tim Tawa 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Lars Nootbaar 2-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.