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Cincinnati Reds
0
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
9
100% — our call
Cincinnati Redsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Reds. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789131112
Reds · 4 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 15 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Will Banfield strikes out swinging.
top 9JJ Bleday grounds out, shortstop Jose Fernandez to first baseman James McCann.
top 9Matt McLain pops out to second baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 8Jordan Lawlar called out on strikes.
bot 8Tim Tawa doubles (10) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Dane Myers. Nolan Arenado scores.09
bot 8Nolan Arenado singles on a line drive to left fielder TJ Friedl. Geraldo Perdomo scores.08
bot 8Geraldo Perdomo doubles (18) on a line drive to right fielder JJ Bleday.
bot 8Gabriel Moreno grounds out, pitcher Sam Moll to first baseman Sal Stewart.

Context the model prices

Cincinnati Reds
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dane Myers 1-3 · Sal Stewart 1-4 · Ke'Bryan Hayes 1-3
Arizona Diamondbacks
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Lawlar 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Geraldo Perdomo 3-5, 1 RBI · Tim Tawa 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.