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San Francisco Giants
6
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
4
0% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 11 H, 2 EDiamondbacks · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Pavin Smith grounds out to first baseman Rafael Devers.
bot 9Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
bot 9Adrian Del Castillo strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryce Eldridge called out on strikes.
top 9Luis Arraez pops out to third baseman Nolan Arenado.
top 9Christian Koss flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
bot 8Lourdes Gurriel Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Gabriel Moreno singles on a line drive to right fielder Heliot Ramos. Gabriel Moreno to 3rd. Gabriel Moreno advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Christian Koss.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
8 on the injured list · bullpen threw 38 batters faced over the last two days
Heliot Ramos 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Victor Bericoto 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Drew Cavanaugh 2-4, 1 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 2-4, 1 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-4 · Tommy Troy 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.