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San Francisco Giants
4
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
5
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 9 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 6 H, 1 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Matt Chapman pops out to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 9Drew Gilbert pops out to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas in foul territory.
top 9Drew Cavanaugh singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Bryce Eldridge scores.45
top 9Jung Hoo Lee grounds out softly to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Bryce Eldridge to 2nd.
top 9Bryce Eldridge singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
top 9Heliot Ramos homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.35
bot 8Max Kepler grounds out, shortstop Casey Schmitt to first baseman Rafael Devers.
bot 8Lourdes Gurriel Jr. grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Rafael Devers.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Heliot Ramos 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Victor Bericoto 2-3 · Luis Arraez 2-4
Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Arenado 2-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tommy Troy 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.