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Minnesota Twins
4
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
2
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789312
Twins · 11 H, 1 EDiamondbacks · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ketel Marte flies out to center fielder Kody Clemens.
bot 9Tommy Troy strikes out swinging.
bot 9Adrian Del Castillo flies out sharply to center fielder Kody Clemens.
top 9Kody Clemens grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 9Byron Buxton singles on a ground ball to third baseman Nolan Arenado. Trevor Larnach to 3rd.
top 9Trevor Larnach doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tim Tawa. Austin Martin scores.42
top 9Alex Jackson grounds out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Austin Martin to 2nd.
top 9Austin Martin ground bunts into a force out, catcher Adrian Del Castillo to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo. Ryan Kreidler out at 2nd. Austin Martin to 1st.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Kreidler 3-4 · Trevor Larnach 2-4, 1 RBI · Byron Buxton 2-5
Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 56 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 2-5, 2 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-3 · Geraldo Perdomo 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.