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Minnesota Twins
5
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
9
100% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 10 H, 1 EDiamondbacks · 13 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Kody Clemens flies out sharply to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
top 9Byron Buxton walks.
top 9Austin Martin called out on strikes.
top 9Luke Keaschall flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
bot 8Jorge Barrosa flies out to right fielder Austin Martin.
bot 8Gabriel Moreno grounds out, third baseman Royce Lewis to first baseman Kody Clemens.
bot 8Corbin Carroll triples (9) on a line drive to right fielder Austin Martin. Tommy Troy scores. Pavin Smith scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores.59
bot 8Geraldo Perdomo walks. Tommy Troy to 3rd. Pavin Smith to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Caratini 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Josh Bell 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Royce Lewis 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Corbin Carroll 3-4, 4 RBI · Jordan Lawlar 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.