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Washington Nationals
14
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 16 H, 1 EDiamondbacks · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Aramis Garcia strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Tommy Troy singles on a soft ground ball to shortstop CJ Abrams. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.
bot 9Geraldo Perdomo singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Crews.
bot 9LuJames Groover pops out to shortstop CJ Abrams.
bot 9Adrian Del Castillo lines out to left fielder Daylen Lile.
top 9Dylan Crews flies out to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.
top 9Jorbit Vivas singles on a fly ball to left fielder Tommy Troy. Curtis Mead scores. CJ Abrams to 3rd. Daylen Lile to 2nd.141
top 9Daylen Lile singles on a line drive to left fielder Tommy Troy. Curtis Mead to 3rd. CJ Abrams to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Luis García Jr. 2-6, 2 HR, 6 RBI · Daylen Lile 3-6, 1 HR, 2 RBI · CJ Abrams 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Aramis Garcia 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Tommy Troy 2-4 · Geraldo Perdomo 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.