Statball

← All live games · Chase Field

Washington Nationals
1
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
5
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911121
Nationals · 3 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dylan Crews called out on strikes.
top 9CJ Abrams lines out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
top 9Curtis Mead flies out to center fielder Jorge Barrosa.
bot 8Jorge Barrosa strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ildemaro Vargas grounds out, first baseman Luis García Jr. to pitcher Gus Varland.
bot 8Geraldo Perdomo flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.
top 8Luis García Jr. grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 8James Wood flies out sharply to left fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Curtis Mead 1-4 · Keibert Ruiz 1-3
Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Gabriel Moreno 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Corbin Carroll 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Geraldo Perdomo 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.