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Washington Nationals
6
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 8 H, 1 EDiamondbacks · 2 H, 0 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Nolan Arenado grounds out, shortstop CJ Abrams to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 9Gabriel Moreno grounds out, pitcher Brad Lord to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 9Corbin Carroll strikes out swinging.
top 9Curtis Mead grounds into a force out, fielded by third baseman Nolan Arenado. Keibert Ruiz out at 3rd.
top 9James Wood walks. Keibert Ruiz to 2nd.
top 9Keibert Ruiz reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to third baseman Nolan Arenado. Daylen Lile scores. Nasim Nuñez out at 3rd.61
top 9Nasim Nuñez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Dylan Crews scores. Daylen Lile to 3rd.51
top 9Jacob Young called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Crews 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Curtis Mead 1-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 1-3, 2 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
LuJames Groover 1-3, 1 RBI · Pavin Smith 1-2 · Nolan Arenado 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.