Statball

← All live games · Chase Field

San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
6
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111123
Giants · 8 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Harrison Bader strikes out swinging.
top 9Daniel Susac flies out to right fielder Jorge Barrosa.
top 9Bryce Eldridge flies out to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.
bot 8Jose Fernandez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader.
bot 8Lourdes Gurriel Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Adrian Del Castillo flies out to right fielder Jesus Rodriguez.
top 8Matt Chapman grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 8Willy Adames grounds out, third baseman Jose Fernandez to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Casey Schmitt 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Matt Chapman 2-4 · Drew Gilbert 1-2, 1 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 3-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan Waldschmidt 2-3 · Jose Fernandez 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.