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New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
5
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789123
Mets · 4 H, 3 EDiamondbacks · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9MJ Melendez grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 9Brett Baty walks. Mark Vientos to 2nd.
top 9Marcus Semien lines out to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo.
top 9Mark Vientos singles on a pop up to second baseman Ketel Marte.
bot 8Ryan Waldschmidt strikes out swinging.
bot 8Jorge Barrosa walks.
bot 8James McCann grounds out, second baseman Marcus Semien to first baseman Mark Vientos.
bot 8Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Luis Torrens 2-3, 1 RBI · Mark Vientos 1-4 · Carson Benge 1-3
Arizona Diamondbacks
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Ryan Waldschmidt 2-4, 3 RBI · Ketel Marte 1-3, 2 RBI · James McCann 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.