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San Francisco Giants
3
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
5
100% — our call
San Francisco Giantsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Giants. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Giants · 8 H, 2 EDiamondbacks · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ketel Marte homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Jose Fernandez scores. Ryan Waldschmidt scores.35
bot 9Adrian Del Castillo singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. Ildemaro Vargas scores.32
bot 9Gabriel Moreno strikes out swinging.
bot 9Lourdes Gurriel Jr. flies out to center fielder Harrison Bader.
bot 9Ildemaro Vargas singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Brennan.
top 9Luis Arraez grounds out softly, pitcher Jonathan Loáisiga to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 9Harrison Bader flies out to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
top 9Will Brennan lines out sharply to center fielder Ryan Waldschmidt.

Context the model prices

San Francisco Giants
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Rafael Devers 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Willy Adames 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Daniel Susac 2-3, 1 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 1-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Adrian Del Castillo 2-4, 1 RBI · Nolan Arenado 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.