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New York Mets
1
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
2
100% — our call
New York Metsgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Mets. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Mets · 3 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Carson Benge strikes out swinging.
top 9Mark Vientos flies out sharply to center fielder Jorge Barrosa.
top 9MJ Melendez called out on strikes.
bot 8Lourdes Gurriel Jr. strikes out swinging.
bot 8Nolan Arenado pops out to first baseman Mark Vientos in foul territory.
bot 8Ildemaro Vargas flies out to left fielder Juan Soto.
bot 8Adrian Del Castillo walks. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.
bot 8Geraldo Perdomo walks.

Context the model prices

New York Mets
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 34 batters faced over the last two days
Tyrone Taylor 1-3 · Brett Baty 1-3, 1 RBI · Marcus Semien 1-3
Arizona Diamondbacks
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Adrian Del Castillo 1-2 · Nolan Arenado 1-3 · Ketel Marte 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.