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Pittsburgh Pirates
4
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
2
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Pirates · 7 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jorge Barrosa strikes out swinging.
bot 9Jose Fernandez grounds out, second baseman Brandon Lowe to first baseman Spencer Horwitz.
bot 9Ildemaro Vargas pops out to shortstop Konnor Griffin.
top 9Brandon Lowe lines out sharply to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
top 9Oneil Cruz walks.
top 9Joey Bart pops out to second baseman Ketel Marte.
top 9Billy Cook pops out to shortstop Geraldo Perdomo.
bot 8Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Joey Bart 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Spencer Horwitz 1-3, 1 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Corbin Carroll 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Adrian Del Castillo 1-3, 1 RBI · Ildemaro Vargas 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.