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Pittsburgh Pirates
1
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
0
0% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Pirates · 7 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 2 H, 0 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Corbin Carroll grounds out to first baseman Ryan O'Hearn.
bot 9Ketel Marte flies out to right fielder Billy Cook.
bot 9Geraldo Perdomo walks.
bot 9Jose Fernandez called out on strikes.
top 9Henry Davis flies out to center fielder Alek Thomas.
top 9Konnor Griffin called out on strikes.
top 9Spencer Horwitz lines out sharply to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
bot 8Gabriel Moreno strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
1 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Brandon Lowe 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryan Reynolds 2-4 · Spencer Horwitz 1-4
Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Nolan Arenado 1-3 · Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 1-3 · Adrian Del Castillo 0-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.