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Pittsburgh Pirates
0
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
9
100% — our call
Pittsburgh Piratesgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Pirates. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789252
Pirates · 2 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Marcell Ozuna strikes out swinging.
top 9Billy Cook called out on strikes.
top 9Bryan Reynolds grounds out, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
bot 8Ildemaro Vargas flies out to left fielder Jake Mangum.
bot 8Adrian Del Castillo singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Ketel Marte scores.09
bot 8Corbin Carroll flies out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.
bot 8Ketel Marte singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryan Reynolds. Alek Thomas scores. Ketel Marte to 2nd.08
bot 8Geraldo Perdomo lines out to right fielder Bryan Reynolds.

Context the model prices

Pittsburgh Pirates
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Jared Triolo 1-3 · Konnor Griffin 1-2 · Joey Bart 0-3
Arizona Diamondbacks
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 6 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 2-5, 2 RBI · Gabriel Moreno 2-4, 1 RBI · Adrian Del Castillo 1-4, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.