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Chicago White Sox
4
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
1
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 10 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jorge Barrosa strikes out swinging.
bot 9Nolan Arenado strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ildemaro Vargas lines out sharply to right fielder Derek Hill.
top 9Miguel Vargas flies out sharply to center fielder Alek Thomas.
top 9Munetaka Murakami flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
top 9Andrew Benintendi homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Chase Meidroth scores. Edgar Quero scores.41
top 9Edgar Quero walks.
top 9Tristan Peters out on a sacrifice bunt, catcher James McCann to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Chase Meidroth to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 40 batters faced over the last two days
Andrew Benintendi 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Colson Montgomery 3-4 · Chase Meidroth 2-3
Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Ketel Marte 2-4 · Adrian Del Castillo 1-4, 1 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.