Statball

← All live games · Chase Field

Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
6
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911114
Jays · 12 H, 1 EDiamondbacks · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Ernie Clement strikes out swinging.
top 9Nathan Lukes singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas.
top 9Tyler Heineman strikes out swinging.
top 9Myles Straw grounds out, third baseman Nolan Arenado to first baseman Jose Fernandez.
bot 8Adrian Del Castillo called out on strikes.
bot 8Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pops out to shortstop Andrés Giménez.
bot 8Geraldo Perdomo strikes out swinging.
bot 8Corbin Carroll hits a grand slam (3) to left center field. Ildemaro Vargas scores. Alek Thomas scores. Ketel Marte scores.26

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
9 on the injured list · bullpen threw 44 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Lukes 3-5 · Ernie Clement 2-5 · Eloy Jiménez 2-4
Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Geraldo Perdomo 3-4, 1 RBI · Corbin Carroll 1-3, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Alek Thomas 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.