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Chicago White Sox
11
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
5
0% — our call
Chicago White Soxgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 14 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Adrian Del Castillo flies out to center fielder Tristan Peters.
bot 9Geraldo Perdomo walks.
bot 9Corbin Carroll walks.
bot 9Ketel Marte strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Alek Thomas grounds out, pitcher Osvaldo Bido to first baseman Munetaka Murakami.
bot 9Ildemaro Vargas homers (3) on a fly ball to right field. Jose Fernandez scores. Nolan Arenado scores.115
bot 9Nolan Arenado singles on a fly ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci. Jose Fernandez to 3rd.
bot 9Jose Fernandez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Antonacci.

Context the model prices

Chicago White Sox
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Munetaka Murakami 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Colson Montgomery 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Sam Antonacci 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Alek Thomas 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ildemaro Vargas 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nolan Arenado 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.