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Atlanta Braves
5
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
6
100% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Braves · 11 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 9 H, 1 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Ketel Marte doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Jorge Barrosa scores.56
top 10Austin Riley flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
top 10Mauricio Dubón grounds out sharply, shortstop Geraldo Perdomo to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.
top 10Ozzie Albies grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas. Michael Harris II to 3rd.
bot 9Jorge Barrosa grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.
bot 9Gabriel Moreno strikes out swinging.
bot 9Tim Tawa flies out to center fielder Michael Harris II.
top 9Michael Harris II grounds out, second baseman Ketel Marte to first baseman Ildemaro Vargas.

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Drake Baldwin 3-5, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Jorge Mateo 2-3 · Ronald Acuña Jr. 2-5
Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 20 batters faced over the last two days
Corbin Carroll 3-4, 1 RBI · Ketel Marte 2-5, 1 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.