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Atlanta Braves
17
100% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
2
0% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Braves · 16 H, 0 EDiamondbacks · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Tim Tawa pops out to first baseman Matt Olson.
bot 9Carlos Santana strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ildemaro Vargas doubles (1) on a line drive to right fielder Eli White. Gabriel Moreno scores.172
bot 9Alek Thomas lines out sharply to center fielder Michael Harris II.
bot 9Gabriel Moreno walks.
top 9Michael Harris II lines out sharply to right fielder Jorge Barrosa.
top 9Ozzie Albies singles on a line drive to center fielder Alek Thomas. Mike Yastrzemski to 3rd.
top 9Mike Yastrzemski doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Tim Tawa. Matt Olson scores.171

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Matt Olson 3-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Mauricio Dubón 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jorge Mateo 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 32 batters faced over the last two days
Jordan Lawlar 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ildemaro Vargas 2-2, 1 RBI · Nolan Arenado 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.