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Detroit Tigers
0
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
1
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Tigers · 7 H, 1 EDiamondbacks · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dillon Dingler grounds out, pitcher Jonathan Loáisiga to first baseman Jose Fernandez.
top 9Riley Greene doubles (2) on a line drive to center fielder Jordan Lawlar.
top 9Gleyber Torres grounds into a double play, third baseman Nolan Arenado to second baseman Ildemaro Vargas to first baseman Jose Fernandez. Kevin McGonigle out at 2nd. Gleyber Torres out at 1st.
top 9Kevin McGonigle singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jordan Lawlar.
bot 8Geraldo Perdomo grounds into a force out, second baseman Gleyber Torres to shortstop Javier Báez. Corbin Carroll out at 2nd.
bot 8Corbin Carroll walks. Ketel Marte to 2nd.
bot 8Ketel Marte walks.
bot 8Jordan Lawlar flies out to right fielder Kerry Carpenter.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Kevin McGonigle 2-4 · Riley Greene 1-4 · Gleyber Torres 1-4
Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 31 batters faced over the last two days
Corbin Carroll 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jordan Lawlar 1-3 · Tim Tawa 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.