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Detroit Tigers
6
0% — our call
Final
Arizona Diamondbacks
9
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityArizona Diamondbacks
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Diamondbacks in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 10 H, 2 EDiamondbacks · 11 H, 0 E
100%
Diamondbacks win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Diamondbacks win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
top 9Riley Greene flies out to center fielder Alek Thomas.
top 9Colt Keith flies out to left fielder Jordan Lawlar.
bot 8Alek Thomas strikes out swinging.
bot 8Nolan Arenado pops out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson in foul territory.
bot 8Gabriel Moreno walks. Geraldo Perdomo to 2nd.
bot 8Geraldo Perdomo grounds into a force out, shortstop Javier Báez to second baseman Gleyber Torres. Corbin Carroll out at 2nd. Geraldo Perdomo to 1st.
bot 8Corbin Carroll walks.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Riley Greene 2-5, 1 RBI · Colt Keith 2-5, 2 RBI · Javier Báez 1-4, 1 RBI
Arizona Diamondbacks
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 21 batters faced over the last two days
Ildemaro Vargas 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Corbin Carroll 2-4, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Jordan Lawlar 2-3, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.